计及可靠性的含风光机组小型发电系统经济性评估*

doi:10.11985/2020.03.002

电气工程学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (3): 13-21.doi: 10.11985/2020.03.002

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计及可靠性的含风光机组小型发电系统经济性评估*

应飞祥¹(),汪宇航¹(),李琰¹(),张恩睦¹(),徐天奇¹(),田华²(),何民³(),贾鉴⁴()

1.云南民族大学电气信息工程学院昆明 650500
2.昆明电器科学研究所昆明 650221
3.国网浙江建德市供电有限公司杭州 311600
4.中国能源建设集团云南省电力设计院有限公司昆明 650051

收稿日期:2020-03-22 修回日期:2020-05-06 出版日期:2020-09-25 发布日期:2020-10-28
通讯作者: 李琰 E-mail:feixiangy521@163.com;wyh9276602@163.com;liyan.hust@gmail.com;317953606@qq.com;xu.tianqi@gmail.com;472722826@qq.com;13588357181@126.com;2436639033@qq.com
作者简介:应飞祥,男,1994年生,硕士研究生。主要研究方向为电力系统可靠性评估、虚拟电厂日前调度策略等。E-mail：feixiangy521@163.com|汪宇航,男,1995年生,硕士研究生。主要研究方向为电力系统可靠性。E-mail：wyh9276602@163.com|张恩睦,男,1986年生,硕士,讲师。主要研究方向为光伏发电控制策略。E-mail：317953606@qq.com|徐天奇,男,1978年生,博士,教授。主要研究方向为电力系统可靠性评估、虚拟电厂调度策略等。E-mail：xu.tianqi@gmail.com|田华,女,1965年生,教授级高级工程师。主要研究方向为电力系统可靠性评估、高电压绝缘技术等。E-mail：472722826@qq.com|何民,男,1978年生,高级工程师。主要研究方向为电力系统信息安全风险评估机制、电力系统规划等。E-mail：13588357181@126.com|贾鉴,男,1994年生,硕士,助理工程师。主要研究方向为电力系统规划。E-mail：2436639033@qq.com
基金资助:
* 国家自然科学基金(61761049);云南省应用基础研究计划青年基金(2017FD120);云南省教育厅科学研究基金(2019Y0169);云南民族大学研究生创新基金(2018YJCXS165)

Economic Evaluation of Small Power Generation System Containing Wind and Solar Generating Unit Considering Reliability

YING Feixiang¹(),WANG Yuhang¹(),LI Yan¹(),ZHANG Enmu¹(),XU Tianqi¹(),TIAN Hua²(),HE Min³(),JIA Jian⁴()

1. School of Electrical and Information Technology, Yunnan Minzu University, Kunming 650500
2. Kunming Electric Apparatus Research Institute, Kunming 650221
3. State Grid Zhejiang Jiande Power Supply Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 311600
4. China Energy Engineering Group Yunnan Electric Power Design Institute Co., Ltd., Kunming 650051

Received:2020-03-22 Revised:2020-05-06 Online:2020-09-25 Published:2020-10-28
Contact: LI Yan E-mail:feixiangy521@163.com;wyh9276602@163.com;liyan.hust@gmail.com;317953606@qq.com;xu.tianqi@gmail.com;472722826@qq.com;13588357181@126.com;2436639033@qq.com

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

可靠性和经济性是含风光机组的发电系统规划时必须要考虑的因素。基于风速数据及光辐照度数据,在考虑风电机组三状态停运模型及光伏发电机组双状态停运模型的基础上,建立了含风光互补系统的可靠性模型,并应用序贯蒙特卡洛法对不同风/光装机容量及在不同风/光配置比例情况下的发电系统可靠性指标进行计算,然后将可靠性评估中得到的负荷缺电量转化为可靠性成本,结合系统固有成本建立综合成本函数,并在考虑环保收益及节省燃料的情况下,对含风光机组的小型发电系统进行经济性评估。算例结果表明所提出方法具有有效性,可为实际的含风光机组小型发电系统规划提供一定的参考。

关键词: 序贯蒙特卡洛法, 风光发电单元, 可靠性, 经济性, 成本模型, 收益模型

Abstract:

Reliability and economic efficiency are factors that must be considered when planning a power generation system that includes wind turbines and solar panels. Based on the wind speed and solar irradiance data, and considering the three-state shutdown model of the wind turbine and the two-state shutdown model of the photovoltaic generator, a reliability model with a wind-solar complementary system is established. By applying the sequential Monte Carlo method, the power generation system reliability index under different wind/solar installed capacity and different wind/solar configuration ratios is calculated. The load power shortage obtained in the reliability assessment is quantified as the reliability cost, and the integrated cost function is established in combination with the inherent cost of the system. Economic evaluation of small power generation systems with wind and solar generating unit is carried out in consideration of environmental benefits and fuel economy savings. The result shows that the proposed method is effective and can provide a certain reference for the actual planning of the small power generation system with wind turbines and solar panels.

Key words: Sequential Monte Carlo method, wind and solar generating unit, reliability, economy, cost model, revenue model

中图分类号:

TM744

应飞祥,汪宇航,李琰,张恩睦,徐天奇,田华,何民,贾鉴. 计及可靠性的含风光机组小型发电系统经济性评估*[J]. 电气工程学报, 2020, 15(3): 13-21.

YING Feixiang,WANG Yuhang,LI Yan,ZHANG Enmu,XU Tianqi,TIAN Hua,HE Min,JIA Jian. Economic Evaluation of Small Power Generation System Containing Wind and Solar Generating Unit Considering Reliability[J]. Journal of Electrical Engineering, 2020, 15(3): 13-21.

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气体种类	生产单位电能的排放量/(kg/kW·h)	处理费用/(元/kg)
CO	1.070 00	0.025 9
CO₂	0.001 55	1.120 0
SO₂	0.009 93	6.790 0
NOB_XB	0.006 46	9.030 0

计及可靠性的含风光机组小型发电系统经济性评估*

Economic Evaluation of Small Power Generation System Containing Wind and Solar Generating Unit Considering Reliability

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