Temporal and Spatial Distribution Forecast for V2G Discharge Load Based on Parking Demand Model

Abstract

Abstract:

Currently, the research on V2G load temporal and spatial distribution forecast mainly focuses on charging load, with less consideration for discharging. A V2G discharging load temporal and spatial distribution forecast method is proposed, from the aspect of traffic planning. Based on city parking demand model, parking characteristics of EVs in industrial/commercial and residential areas are analyzed and V2G load capacity model is built. Also, forecast method based on Monte Carlo simulation is given. Finally, taking a city for a computing example, V2G load characteristics in industrial/commercial and residential areas are analyzed. Meanwhile, it is given how V2G load is impacted by reserve driving capacity, charging and discharging power, and daily average driving range.

Key words: Electric vehicle, V2G discharge load, temporal and spatial distribution forcast, parking demand model

CLC Number:

U469.7

Liu Xiaofei,Cui Shumei,Xie Fuhong,Xu Shiming. Temporal and Spatial Distribution Forecast for V2G Discharge Load Based on Parking Demand Model[J]. Journal of Electrical Engineering, 2015, 10(8): 22-28.

Figures/Tables 12

Fig.1

Fig.2

Fig.3

Fig.4

Fig.5

Fig.6

Tab.

Fig.7

Fig.8

Fig.9

Fig.10

Fig.11

References 11

[1]	刘晓飞, 张千帆, 崔淑梅 . 电动汽车V2G技术综述[J]. 电工技术学报, 2012,27(2):121-127.
	Liu Xiaofei, Zhang Qianfan, Cui Shumei . Review of electric vehicle V2G technology[J]. Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society, 2012,27(2):121-127.
[2]	Kempton W, Tomic J . Vehicle-to-grid power implementation: from stabilizing the grid to supporting large-scale renewable energy[J]. Journal of Power Sources, 2005,144(1):280-294. doi: 10.1016/j.jpowsour.2004.12.022
[3]	Saber A, Venayagamoorthy G . Plug-in vehicles and renewable energy sources for cost and emission reductions[J]. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics, 2010,99:1-10.
[4]	Pieltain X, Ndez L, Go X , et al. Assessment of the impact of plug-in electric vehicles on distribution networks[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2011,26(1):206-213. doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2010.2049133
[5]	Bae S, Kwasinski A . Spatial and temporal model of electric vehicle charging demand[J]. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2012,3(1):394-403. doi: 10.1109/TSG.2011.2159278
[6]	张洪财, 胡泽春, 宋永华 . 考虑时空分布的电动汽车充电负荷预测方法[J]. 电力系统自动化, 2014,38(1):13-20. doi: 10.7500/AEPS20130613009
	Zhang Hongcai, Hu Zechun, Song Yonghua . A prediction method for electric vehicle charging load considering spatial and temporal distribution[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2014,38(1):13-20. doi: 10.7500/AEPS20130613009
[7]	蒋毅舟 . 规模化电劫汽车用电需求的空间分布预测[D]. 北京:华北电力大学, 2012.
[8]	昆山市规划局. 昆山市城市综合交通规划研究报告[R]. 东南大学, 2002.
[9]	陆化普 . 交通规划理论与方法[M]. 北京: 清华大学出版社, 2006.
[10]	潘驰, 赵胜川, 姚荣涵 . 基于出行目的停车行为差异性分析[J]. 交通信息与安全, 2012(1):39-42,57.
	Pan Chi, Zhao Shengchuan, Yao Ronghan . Variation analysis of parking behaviors with different travel purposes[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2012(1):39-42, 57.
[11]	Wang Shouxiang, Zhang Na, Li Zuyi , et al. Modeling and impact analysis of large scale V2G electric vehicles on the power grid[C]. 2012 IEEE Innovative Smart Grid Technologies-Asia, Tianjin, China, 2012: 1-6.

大区域	区域编号	泊位需求数量	居住区、工商业区泊位比
A	1	1 303	1.6
	2	1 100	1.6
	3	1 087	0.6
	4	1 561	1.4
	5	1 371	2.7
B	6	1 017	0.7
	7	202	0.0
	8	667	0.4
	9	607	0.2
C	11	383	0.5
	12	624	0.2
	13	172	0.0
D	14	548	1.9
D	10	1 957	0.2

[1]	ZHANG Zhiyong, ZHANG Shuzhi, HUANG Caixia, ZHANG Liuzhu, LI Bohao. State Estimation of Distributed Drive Electric Vehicle Based on Adaptive Extended Kalman Filter [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2019, 55(6): 156-165.
[2]	LIU Hui, LI Xunming, WANG Weida, HAN Lijin, YAN Zhengjun. Optimal Power Allocation Factor Based Real Time Energy Management Strategy for a Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2019, 55(4): 91-101.
[3]	XIONG Rui, MA Suxiao, YANG Ruixin, CHEN Zeyu. Thermo-mechanical Influence and Analysis of External Short Circuit Faults in Lithium-ion Battery [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2019, 55(2): 115-125.
[4]	XU Xing, XU Qiling, WANG Feng, YANG Shichun, ZHOU Zhiguang. Modification Method of Electrochemical Model for Vehicular Lithium-ion Power Battery [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2019, 55(12): 128-136.
[5]	NIU Limin, YANG Hongyuan, ZHOU Yazhou, Lü Jianmei. Hybrid Electric Vehicle Integrated Control Strategy Based on Multi-agent [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2019, 55(12): 168-177,188.
[6]	WANG Zhenpo, DING Xiaolin, ZHANG Lei. Overview on Key Technologies of Acceleration Slip Regulation for Four-wheel-independently-actuated Electric Vehicles [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2019, 55(12): 99-120.
[7]	ZHANG Fengqi, HU Xiaosong, XU Kanghui, TANG Xiaolin, CUI Yahui. Current Status and Prospects for Model Predictive Energy Management in Hybrid Electric Vehicles [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2019, 55(10): 86-108.
[8]	LI Hengjie,LV Junqing,CHEN Wei,PEI Xiping. Residential Electric Vehicle Load Forecast Based on Valley Time Series Charging [J]. Journal of Electrical Engineering, 2019, 14(1): 95-100.
[9]	Lü Changji,Zhang Bingyi,Feng Guihong. Study of Adaptive Electronic Differential Control Strategy Based on Torque-Balance [J]. Journal of Electrical Engineering, 2018, 13(8): 26-31.
[10]	ZHANG Lipeng, GU Dingjie, QI Bingnan, DONG Chuangchuang. Impact Reduction Method for Electric Vehicle Dual-mode Coupling Drive System with Modes Shift [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2018, 54(8): 165-176.
[11]	HU Donghai, YAN Yanzhi. Analysis of Nonlinear Torsional Vibration Characteristics of EV Powertrain Considering Rotor Eccentricity of PMSM [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2018, 54(22): 128-136.
[12]	Xiangyang Xia, Xinxin Zhao, Heqing Zeng, Xiaoyong Zeng. A Novel Design of Hybrid Energy Storage System for Electric Vehicles [J]. Chinese Journal of Electrical Engineering, 2018, 4(1): 45-51.
[13]	Saqib Jamshed Rind, Yaxing Ren, Yihua Hu, Jibing Wang, Lin Jiang. Configurations and Control of Traction Motors for Electric Vehicles: A Review [J]. Chinese Journal of Electrical Engineering, 2017, 3(3): 1-17.
[14]	Ming Cheng, Minghao Tong. Development Status and Trend of Electric Vehicles in China [J]. Chinese Journal of Electrical Engineering, 2017, 3(2): 10-10.
[15]	ZHANG Lipeng, LI Liang, QI Bingnan. Decoupled Roll Stability Control of In-wheel Motor Drive Electric Vehicle [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2017, 53(16): 94-104.