Journal of Electrical Engineering ›› 2022, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (4): 300-308.doi: 10.11985/2022.04.032
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LI Hujun1(), ZHAO Wenjie1, BAI Hongkun1, WANG Tianliang2, LI Qian3(
), JIANG Xin3
Received:
2021-03-02
Revised:
2021-10-20
Online:
2022-12-25
Published:
2023-02-03
CLC Number:
LI Hujun, ZHAO Wenjie, BAI Hongkun, WANG Tianliang, LI Qian, JIANG Xin. Optimal Purchase Decision of Henan Electric Power Company Considering Qinghai Direct Current[J]. Journal of Electrical Engineering, 2022, 17(4): 300-308.
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电量平衡 | 年份 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020年 | 2021年 | 2022年 | 2023年 | 2024年 | 2025年 | ||
需电量 | 3 760 | 3 930 | 4 100 | 4 270 | 4 440 | 4 610 | |
省内 | 燃煤 | 2 343 | 2 343 | 2 343 | 2 347 | 2 417 | 2 488 |
燃气 | 106 | 106 | 134 | 134 | 134 | 134 | |
常规水电 | 76 | 76 | 76 | 76 | 76 | 76 | |
抽水蓄能 | 19 | 32 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 46 | |
风电 | 109 | 164 | 213 | 242 | 269 | 299 | |
光伏 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | |
非统调 | 169 | 173 | 177 | 182 | 186 | 190 | |
省外 | 三峡水电 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 72 |
哈郑直流 | 440 | 440 | 440 | 440 | 440 | 440 | |
电量缺口 | 361 | 458 | 543 | 675 | 743 | 799 |
"
月份 | 2020年 | 2021年 | 2022年 | 2023年 | 2024年 | 2025年 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1月 | 32.9 | 41.8 | 49.4 | 61.4 | 67.6 | 72.5 |
2月 | 26.2 | 33.1 | 39.0 | 48.4 | 53.2 | 57.0 |
3月 | 29.0 | 36.8 | 43.5 | 54.1 | 59.6 | 64.0 |
4月 | 26.1 | 33.0 | 39.0 | 48.5 | 53.4 | 57.3 |
5月 | 27.3 | 34.6 | 40.9 | 50.9 | 56.1 | 60.2 |
6月 | 29.4 | 37.6 | 44.7 | 55.8 | 61.6 | 66.3 |
7月 | 36.2 | 46.2 | 55.0 | 68.4 | 75.5 | 81.2 |
8月 | 34.9 | 44.5 | 53.0 | 66 | 72.8 | 78.4 |
9月 | 28.2 | 36.1 | 42.9 | 53.4 | 59.0 | 63.5 |
10月 | 28.0 | 35.4 | 41.9 | 52.1 | 57.3 | 61.5 |
11月 | 29.1 | 36.9 | 43.5 | 54.0 | 59.4 | 63.8 |
12月 | 33.4 | 42.3 | 49.9 | 61.9 | 68.0 | 73.0 |
"
电量情况 | 年份 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020年 | 2021年 | 2022年 | 2023年 | 2024年 | 2025年 | ||
一、需电量 | 3 760 | 3 930 | 4 100 | 4 270 | 4 440 | 4 610 | |
二、省内优先电量 | 1. 常规水电 | 75.5 | 75.5 | 75.5 | 75.5 | 75.5 | 75.5 |
2. 统调光伏 | 108.7 | 164.1 | 212.9 | 242.0 | 269.2 | 298.9 | |
3. 统调风电 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | |
4. 非统调 | 168.8 | 173.0 | 177.1 | 182.0 | 186.1 | 190.3 | |
5. 热电联产机组 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 99.9 | |
6. 抽蓄机组 | 18.7 | 31.5 | 35.8 | 35.8 | 35.8 | 45.7 | |
7. 调峰机组 | 52.3 | 64.6 | 75.3 | 81.8 | 87.8 | 94.3 | |
三、直接交易电量 | 1 947.7 | 2 035.7 | 2 123.8 | 2 211.9 | 2 299.9 | 2 388.0 | |
四、外购电量 | 1. 三峡 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 72 | 72 |
2. 天中直流 | 440 | 440 | 440 | 440 | 440 | 440 | |
3. 青海直流 | 187.4 | 272.4 | 386.8 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | |
五、现货购电空间 | 522.8 | 435.1 | 334.8 | 344.1 | 388.7 | 420.3 |
"
时间 | 2020年 | 2021年 | 2022年 | 2023—2025年 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
拟送 | 合约 | 现货 | 拟送 | 合约 | 现货 | 拟送 | 合约 | 现货 | 拟送 | 合约 | |
1月 | 17.36 | 17.36 | 0.00 | 25.23 | 25.23 | 0.00 | 34.33 | 34.33 | 0.00 | 34.33 | 34.33 |
2月 | 15.68 | 13.48 | 2.20 | 22.79 | 19.60 | 3.19 | 31.01 | 27.29 | 3.72 | 31.01 | 31.01 |
3月 | 17.36 | 14.93 | 2.43 | 25.23 | 21.70 | 3.53 | 34.33 | 30.21 | 4.12 | 34.33 | 34.33 |
4月 | 16.80 | 14.45 | 2.35 | 24.42 | 21.00 | 3.42 | 33.23 | 29.24 | 3.99 | 33.23 | 33.23 |
5月 | 17.36 | 14.93 | 2.43 | 25.23 | 21.70 | 3.53 | 34.33 | 30.21 | 4.12 | 34.33 | 34.33 |
6月 | 16.80 | 14.45 | 2.35 | 24.42 | 21.00 | 3.42 | 33.23 | 29.24 | 3.99 | 33.23 | 33.23 |
7月 | 18.35 | 18.35 | 0.00 | 26.67 | 26.67 | 0.00 | 41.70 | 41.70 | 0.00 | 41.70 | 41.70 |
8月 | 18.35 | 18.35 | 0.00 | 26.67 | 26.67 | 0.00 | 41.70 | 41.70 | 0.00 | 41.70 | 41.70 |
9月 | 16.80 | 16.80 | 0.00 | 24.42 | 24.42 | 0.00 | 33.23 | 33.23 | 0.00 | 33.23 | 33.23 |
10月 | 17.36 | 14.93 | 2.43 | 25.23 | 21.70 | 3.53 | 34.33 | 30.21 | 4.12 | 34.33 | 34.33 |
11月 | 16.80 | 14.45 | 2.35 | 24.42 | 21.00 | 3.42 | 33.23 | 29.24 | 3.99 | 33.23 | 33.23 |
12月 | 17.36 | 14.93 | 2.43 | 25.23 | 21.70 | 3.53 | 34.33 | 30.21 | 4.12 | 34.33 | 34.33 |
全年 | 206 | 187 | 19 | 300 | 272 | 28 | 419 | 387 | 32 | 419 | 419 |
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