基于蒙特卡洛法的电动汽车充电负荷计算

doi:10.11985/2016.11.006

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

未来,电动汽车规模化的推广将对电网产生重要影响,电动汽车充电负荷预测是分析电动汽车接入电网的基础。通过分析电动汽车充电负荷的影响因素,针对私家车、公交车和出租车这三种类型电动汽车以及常规充电和快速充电这两种充电模式,采用蒙特卡洛法抽取不同类型车辆的日行驶里程和不同充电模式的开始充电时间,得到起始荷电状态,计算出充电时间长度,最后计算出充电负荷,获得充电负荷曲线,计算结果为研究电动汽车的有序充电策略提供了一定的理论依据。

关键词: 电动汽车, 充电负荷, 蒙特卡洛法

Abstract:

Electric vehicle in the future large-scale promotion will have important impact on power grid, the electric vehicle charging load forecast is the basis of the analysis of electric vehicles connected to the electricity grid. By analyzing the influence factors of electric vehicle charging load, with the three types of private car, bus, taxi electric cars as well as the conventional charging and fast charging these two charging mode, the Monte Carlo method is used to draw different types of vehicles, range and different charging mode to start charging time, get initial charged state, calculate the charging time length, finally calculate the charging load, charging load curve, the calculation results for the research of electric vehicles and orderly charging strategy provides certain theoretical basis.

Key words: Electric vehicle, charging load, Monte Carlo simulation

中图分类号:

U469.72

陈鹏,孟庆海,赵彦锦. 基于蒙特卡洛法的电动汽车充电负荷计算[J]. 电气工程学报, 2016, 11(11): 40-46.

Chen Peng,Meng Qinghai,Zhao Yanjin. The Electric Vehicle Charging Load Calculation Based on the Monte Carlo Method[J]. Journal of Electrical Engineering, 2016, 11(11): 40-46.

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充电模式	额定电压/V	额定电流/A	适用场所
L1	单相220	16	家用
L2（2-1）	单相220	32	商场、停车场
L2（2-2）	三相380	32
L2（2-3）	三相380	63
L3	600	300	高速公路服务区、充电站等

参数	私家车	公交车	出租车
μ	3.05	4.38	5.09
σ	0.51	0.32	0.31

时段/30min	充电负荷/kW	时段/30min	充电负荷/kW
1	13 916	25	69 855
2	16 065	26	73 484
3	18 669	27	75 673
4	27 071	28	71 685
5	39 882	29	61 043
6	50 024	30	56 308
7	55 525	31	55 700
8	51 362	32	57 306
9	41 331	33	54 072
10	35 004	34	40 878
11	33 824	35	29 238
12	31 269	36	18 439
13	28 889	37	14 367
14	26 271	38	13 202
15	23 331	39	12 698
16	20 664	40	11 970
17	17 395	41	11 410
18	14 497	42	10 423
19	11 872	43	8 960
20	14 821	44	7 756
			（续）
时段/30min	充电负荷/kW	时段/30min	充电负荷/kW
21	26 768	45	6 916
22	39 161	46	7 448
23	52 977	47	9 289
24	66 540	48	11 550